he UK has recorded another 274 coronavirus deaths overnight as more than 24,400 new cases were confirmed.

It marks the biggest Friday rise in deaths since May 29, when 274 fatalities were also recorded.

However, separate figures published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) show more than 61,000 deaths have so far been registered across the UK where Covid-19 was mentioned on the death certificate.

The latest figures come as a prediction that the UK could see 50,000 Covid-19 cases a day by mid-October appears to have been proven accurate.

The Government’s chief scientific adviser Sir Patrick Vallance announced his stark projection at a press conference in September, alongside chief medical officer Professor Chris Whitty, adding that there could be 200-plus daily deaths in November.

But the Office for National Statistics (ONS) infection survey, published on Friday, found coronavirus cases “continued to rise steeply”, with an average of 51,900 new cases per day of Covid-19 in private homes between October 17 and 23.

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It is understood scientists are now confident that there are more than 50,000 infections a day.

It comes after the latest Government figures showed the UK seven-day average number of reported deaths within 28 days of a positive coronavirus test was 230 a day between October 23 to 29.

This is a a few weeks earlier than Sir Patrick’s warning of 200 deaths a day by the middle of November.

Sir Patrick said in September that it was “not a prediction” but the current doubling of cases every seven days could lead to a dramatic rise in hospitalisations and deaths.

Speaking at a press briefing on September 21 Sir Patrick said: “At the moment we think the epidemic is doubling roughly every seven days.

“If, and that’s quite a big if, but if that continues unabated and this grows doubling every seven days
 if that continued you would end up with something like 50,000 cases in the middle of October per day.

“50,000 cases per day would be expected to lead a month later, so the middle of November say, to 200-plus deaths per day.

“The challenge therefore is to make sure the doubling time does not stay at seven days.”

Scientific advisers at the top of Government believe it is now too late for a two-week national circuit-breaker to have enough of an effect and a longer national lockdown is needed to drive the reproduction number, or R rate, of the virus below one.

All parts of England are on course to eventually end up in Tier 3 restrictions, they believe, while deaths could potentially hit 500 per day within weeks.

Source: https://www.standard.co.uk/news/health/uk-coronavirus-cases-deaths-latest-b30401.html

Coronavirus, Patrick Vallance, United Kingdom

World news – GB – UK coronavirus cases surge by more than 24,400 as deaths up by 274

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